MORI national poll gives Tories a 9% lead
April 25th, 2008
Are we seeing the Observer’s poll two days early?
After the big boost for the Tories in this morning’s YouGov poll there’s another national survey out which shows a growing Conservative lead.
The MORI Monitor for April has been published on the firm’s website, apparently by mistake, and shows the following shares with the changes on March: CON 40% (nc): LAB 31% (-4): LD 19% (+1). My understanding was that this poll was for the Observer on Sunday.
The fieldwork began a week last Thursday and ended on Tuesday – so a part covered the difficult start to the week that Labour had with the 10% tax band revolt.
In recent months MORI has been reporting the worst ratings for the Tories of any of the pollsters. In January it had Labour 1% behind and in February just 2% in front.
Polling is all about trends and this latest survey reinforces the trend seen with YouGov but not with ICM.
The poll also shows a big decline in Gordon Brown’s ratings and have him at -38%. Cameron is on +2%.
Mike Smithson