Why the flights to Rwanda will not help Sunak
If the flights take place that YouGov polling shows it will help the Tories in the poll as much as March’s budget did. I also expect the boat crossings to not decrease when the flights start. TSE
Who knew the London elite were so numerous?
This is why Liz Truss remains a great lay in the next Tory leader/PM markets. I suspect those who would like her back is inflated by non Tories who want the Tories destroyed forever and see her return as the best to achieve that. Only somebody with a fetish for sadomasochistic pain, punishment, and humiliation would want to see Liz Truss back as Tory leader/PM. TSE
Porn in the USA!
The first kick I took was when I hit the groundEnd up like a dog that’s been beat too much‘Til you spend half your life just to cover it up, now… …Down in the shadow of the penitentiary This polling is a damning indictment on the American legal system. A key figure is the plurality of Independents who think Trump is guilty. TSE
Actual pew research by Pew Research
American think tank and pollster the Pew Research Centre have conducted some actual pew research. One in five respondents said they visited church recently but other data says that is more like one in twenty. In my humble opinion one of the reasons we have regular polling failures on both sides of the pond is that people give duff answers, particularly if it makes them look bad, God botherers are no different to the rest of us. Some people pretend…
Lock him up
No wonder why Trump’s lawyers are trying to delay his trials until after the election. A conviction before November could see a Biden landslide. TSE
The history of gambling
INTRODUCTION Social issues in the United Kingdom are often done with one side or the other claiming to be on the “right side of history”. But their knowledge of history is usually lacking. So the question was: what does history actually teach us about the resolution of social issues? The history of gambling has much to inform us on this. Let me explain. 1000-1845: THE RICH AND POOR COLLIDE Throughout the second millennium gambling was divided by class and moderated…
A closer look at the local elections
The second of my threads on the forthcoming local elections looks at two southern coastal councils which should be the epitome of rock-solid Conservative territory but this year will be representative of that party’s current electoral strength or frailty. These are among eight District Councils which normally elect by thirds but which, due to boundary changes, are having all-up elections this year. Fareham sits between Southampton and Portsmouth. The local council (which also includes part of the Gosport constituency) has…
Yea, though I walk through the Tees Valley of the shadow of Reform
Redfield & WIlton have published a plethora of polling on the Tees Valley Mayoral polling and I feel a little bit shocked by this polling as my expectation was that the scandal around Lord Houchen would doom him but I share Lewis Baston’s take on the polling. One thing to look after the election is where the Reform do not stand where do their voters go? As Redfield & Wilton rightly point out it is rather silly to base assumptions…